A pivotal day for the insurance industry

A pivotal day for the insurance industry
There were a few key assumptions underlying Celent’s End of Auto insurance report:
  1. Cars would crash less, requiring lower claims expenditure and lower premiums
  2. Cars would drive themselves, liability would shift to manufacturers and ‘driver insurance’ would be a thing of the past
Today with Volvo’s announcement (also linked here) that they would accept all liability for the car in autonomous mode we see the first of three steps towards the end of auto insurance. This is a key moment in human history, a pivotal moment that will redefine how human beings travel albeit that may not be apparent today. Today, this looks like an inevitable check box on the route to autonomous cars. It is in fact both. Now the other manufacturers must follow suit or relegate themselves to manufacturing cars with no autonomous ability. Immediately, Blockbuster and Kodak come to mind. Initially they may deal with this through captive insurers but this will change over time. I mentioned this is the first of three steps. The next inevitable one will take place in the court of law, perhaps after the first death where the car was liable. Here the specifics will be tested and understood. This will be a different milestone in different jurisdictions. The third step will be a few years from now, when the autonomous systems have had enough time to partially fail due to poor maintenance. I am assuming we still own the cars at that point we’re not just renting them by the hour. At this point clarity will be given to who is responsible for making sure an autonomous system is still fit to drive on the road. Governments and lawmakers will have to define a minimum capability that is required before one can turn on the system. In some countries it may happen sooner than others but one imagines this will be a reactive exercise as manufacturers challenge their liability due to customers meddling with or failing to maintain the equipment. As interesting and drawn out as these second and third steps are, history will show they are insignificant compared to the point in time when the first manufacturer stood up and said they would accept full liability for their cars when in autonomous mode. Update: Other manufacturers are already following suit. and the Volvo CEO is already calling on the US government to establish testing guidelines as part of the speech.

Creative Disruption in Action: Changing the insurance outlook for young drivers

Creative Disruption in Action:  Changing the insurance outlook for young drivers

With less than a month to go until our Creative Disruption Symposium in New York on 13th September 2012, the Celent team are working hard on pulling together some great content. The agenda and speakers have been confirmed, and hopefully we’ve got the technology lined up to add in a bit of audience participation for fun.

On Monday, I spent a great day with one of the new breed of telematics insurers in the UK that base their model on ‘Pay How You Drive’, called ingenie. We’ll be featuring them at our symposium in a video. What amazed me about this start-up was the passion and energy not just around delivering the insurance product through new technology but also the desire to change the driving behaviour of young 17-25 year old drivers. This passion extends to bringing new disciplines into the risk pricing equation, such as behavioural science to understand young drivers’ attitude to risk and also top-end driving science through a partnership that they have developed with the Formula 1 Williams team. Based upon their discoveries, they have added ~300 algorithms into the risk selection and pricing equation.

They also use the same information to feedback driving performance to young drivers in a way that they want to receive it, via a combination of a mobile app and push notifications. There’s no point in pushing the data out to a traditional browser based portal as that’s no longer how 17-25 year olds want to interact with technology. The goal of this model is to influence behaviour in order to reduce the total claims cost, build a long-term affinity with the young driver, and in doing so deliver a stable return.

For years, the traditional UK auto insurance industry has dismissed young drivers as virtually uninsurable, backed up a claims experience that’s hard to argue against. And it’s no surprise that this is the response when you consider that the traditional model has delivered an above 100% COR for entire UK auto insurance market over many years. In 2011 alone, which was considered to be an improvement on prior years, the industry made an operating loss of £600m ($960m).

Through changing the model to focus on adapting driving behaviours and in doing so reducing the frequency and cost of claims, telematics is enabling new entrants to target this underserved market using a viable alternative capable of outperforming the industry incumbents. As a result, it’s no surprise that many of the insurers that we speak to in the UK are seriously looking at how (or even if) they should respond.

To us, this is a great example of Creative Disruption in Action and one that we will be covering in more detail at the Symposium. There’s still time to register!

Finally, whether you are able to attend our Symposium or not, why not help us prepare by taking five minutes to complete our survey on Creative Disruption within Insurance. Click here to participate. Thank you.